Monte Carlo fallacy
English
Etymology
From an incident which took place at the Casino de Monte-Carlo.[1]
Noun
Monte Carlo fallacy (uncountable)
- The fallacy, most often believed by gamblers, that a past random event influences the outcome of a future random event, that is, that a run of even numbers at roulette means that there is a greater chance of an odd number next time.
- Synonym: gambler's fallacy
Further reading
gambler's fallacy on Wikipedia.Wikipedia
References
- ^ Tom Stafford (2015 January 28) “Why we gamble like monkeys”, in BBC.com[1]: “This is known as the gambler's fallacy, and achieved notoriety at the Casino de Monte-Carlo on 18 August 1913. The ball fell on black 26 times in a row, and as the streak lengthened gamblers lost millions betting on red, believing that the chances changed with the length of the run of blacks.”